1、3600 英文单词， 1.9 万英文字符 ， 中文 5400 字 文献出处： Akta A, Kaplan F, Ozkan B, et al. The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Agricultural Exports: A Study of TurkeyJ. Business Management Dynamics, 2015, 4(8): 1-8. The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Agricultural Exports: A Study of Turkey Ali Riza Akt
2、as, Fatih Kaplan, Burhan Ozkan and Robin Gail Brumfield Abstract Using Turkish monthly data from 2003 to 2013, the short-term and long-term effects of the real income of foreign countries, and the relative price and uncertainty of the real exchange rate on Turkeys real agricultural export income wer
3、e analysed using the Johansen co-integration method and the error correction model. The real exchange rate of uncertainty was obtained using the EGARCH model. The Johansen co-integration test showed a weak co-integration between variables in the long-term. The variable which affects agricultural exp
4、orts in the long term is exchange rate uncertainty. Key words: Agriculture, Exports, Exchange rate, Price elasticity, Foreign trade INTRODUCTION The agriculture sector, which is different from other sectors in terms of its dependency on nature, has, in addition to its main task of increasing the sup
5、ply of nutrition for the population, also has the responsibility for important tasks such as providing a labour force and raw materials, creating demand in these sectors, and contributing to economic growth. The influence of agriculture in the general economic structure is decreasing over time, as i
6、s the positive contribution of agriculture to the economic development of nations. Although the relative importance of the agriculture sector has been gradually decreasing as part of the economic development process, it continues in modern times to be one of the main foundations of socio-economic life in Turkey, just as it was in the past. In 2013 the agriculture sector represented 7.8% of gross domestic revenue, 11.68% of total exports, and 23.6% of the jobs in Turkey. From the first years
