1、 毕业论文毕业论文 城镇化对福建经济发展的影响 基于协整模型的分析 The Effect of Urbanization to the Economic Development of Fujian Province - Based on Co-integration Analysis Model I 摘要 改革开放以来，福建省经济迅速发展。与此同时，福建省城镇化水平也不断提高。那福 建省经济的迅速崛起是否受其城镇化水平的影响？本文在总结已有理论的基础上，将通过对 19802007年的相关统计数据， 采用主成分分析和因子分析推算出福建省1980-2007年的城镇 化综合指标数据，再结合福建省19
2、80-2007年期间的总产出数据利用协整模型进行实证分析。 结果表明：福建省城镇化水平的提高有利于福建省经济的增长。在此基础上，就如何推进福 建省城镇化提出一些建议。 关键字：福建省；城市化；经济增长；协整分析 Abstract Since reform and opening, the economy of Fujian Province has developed rapidly. At the same time, the level of urbanization in Fujian Province is also rising. Fujian provinces rapid eco
3、nomic rise that is affected by its level of urbanization? This paper summarizes the existing theories, based on the 1980-2007 through the relevant statistical data, using principal component analysis and factor analysis of projected urbanization 1980-2007 Fujian integrated indicator data, combined w
4、ith the Fujian Province, 1980-2007, the total output data using cointegration model for empirical analysis. The results showed that: Raising the level of urbanization is conducive to economic growth in Fujian Province. On this basis, give some suggestions on how to advance urbanization in Fujian Province. Keywords: Fujian; Urbanization; Economic growth; The cointegration analysis II 目 录 摘要 I 引言 1 一、文献回顾 1 （一）城镇化概念. 1 （二）中外文献回顾. 1 二、研究设计 3 （一）指标. 3 （二）数据. 3 （三）思路. 4 三、实证检验 4 （一）数据处理. 4
