1、 毕业论文 人民币汇率波动对我国贸易收支的影响研究 院(系)名 称:经济管理学院 专 业 名 称:国际经济与贸易双学位 学 生 姓 名: 指 导 老 师: 2013 年 6 月 摘 要 由于欧美国家进一步施加升值压力, 2012 年 4 月中国人民银行宣布银行间即期外汇 市场人民币对美元交易价浮动幅度由千分之五扩大至百分之一,人民币升值的趋势仍在 持续。对于对外经济贸易的发展,2012 年 12 月份,我国进出口规模双双创历史新高。 汇率作为外汇市场上各国货币相互交换的比价,是调节国际贸易的重要杠杆,对一国进 出口收支与结构,资本的流出入,物价水平甚至资源在世界范围内的配置都起到十分重 要的作
2、用。改革开放以来,随着我国对外开放程度的加大,我国经济的对外依存度也越 来越高,把汇率与我国实际情况结合起来研究,分析汇率变动对我国进出口贸易的影响 具有理论和现实的意义。通过对汇率变动对我国贸易收支和贸易结构的具体影响的分 析,得出相应的结论:人民币汇率升值在一定程度上影响了我国的进出口贸易,促进了 贸易结构的优化升级;但同时也要注意由汇率变动引发的其他因素的变动对经济的影 响。然后依据所得结论提出相应的意见和建议。人民币汇率波动与贸易收支的关系问题 一直存在着不同的结论,我希望这篇论文能在一定意义上对我国的对外贸易发展提供一 定的参考。 关键词关键词:人民币汇率;贸易收支;影响 Abstr
3、act Due to the European and American countries further appreciation pressure, in 2012 April the peoples Bank of China announced the inter-bank spot foreign exchange market, the yuan against the dollar from 5/1000 to one percent, RMB appreciation trend continues. For the development of foreign trade
4、and economic cooperation in 2012 December, the size of a record high, both the import and export of china. The parity rate as currencies on the foreign exchange market exchange, is an important lever to regulate international trade, on a countrys import and export balance and structure, capital flow
5、, price level and resources in the world are configured to play a very important role. Since the reform and opening up, with the increase of the degree of openness of the economy, Chinas external dependence is higher and higher, the exchange rate and the actual situation of our country to combine re
6、search, analysis of the impact of exchange rate on Chinas import and export trade has theoretical and practical significance. Through the analysis of the specific influence of the fluctuation of Chinas trade balance and trade structure of the exchange rate, and draw the corresponding conclusion: the appreciation of the RMB exchange rate to a certain extent, affect Chinas import and export trade, promote the optimization and upgrading of trade structure; but also pay attention to other fa