1、湖南工业大学本科毕业论文（ 设计 ） 1 人口总量与妇女生育率的关系 摘 要 本文主要 要解决的问题是如何通过人口总量以及妇女生育率的数据来得到这两个变量间的函数关系 ,以此来揭示他们的之间的关系 ,更好的为人口的统计来服务 . 首先 ,通过分孩次生 育率赋予权值的方法得到生育率 (即通过信息熵决策的方法获取权值 ),赋权后的生育率作为妇女生育率 ,然后从中国统计年鉴上的 人口数获得人口总量的数据并以教育部的小学招生人数来校正人口总量 ,尽量减少由于少报漏报带来的误差 .其次是建立人口总量与妇女生育率的模型 ,并以该模型利用前面两步的数据来获取拟合函数 . 关键词 ： 人口总量；数据加权；妇女
2、生育率；函数拟合 湖南工业大学本科毕业论文（ 设计 ） 2 THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN POPULATION AND THE TOTAL FERTILITY RATE OF WOMEN ABSTRACT In this paper, the main problem to be solved is how to get the function of the relationship between two variables through the population and data on fertility rate of women, in order to r
3、eveal the relationship between them, the better for the population statistics service. Firstly, by means of the parity fertility rate of fertility ( weights obtained by information entropy decision-making method to obtain weights ), weight after fertility as womens fertility rate, then get the total
4、 population data and the number of primary school enrollment in the Ministry of education to correct the population from the population of China Statistical Yearbook, to minimize errors due to under-reporting false negatives bring. Followed by the establishment of the total population and fertility rate model, and the model using two steps ahead of the data to obtain the fitting function. keywords： The total population； data weighted； fertility rate； function fitting.
